How to judge a plate of winner or is weak

How to is judgment a plate of and strong or are weak? 

 

Through winner, what tendency share judge big plate is strong or weak is merit.  

( Yi) tradition market analysis style often coils from analysis to begin 

Coil as judgment is being in or will soon be in strong tendency, come again to grind to sentence share take or give up , emphasize big a plate of basic surface( stage supply-demand relationship etc.) and technical surface( every technical index is in what location? ) the winner who judges big plate or is weak.  

1, day K line as the 4 overcast lines that appearance moves under focus, big plate is weak.  

After 94.9 and the 13 wound 1,052.98s of Hu city, big plate has arisen 4 overcast lines continuously in 1000 areas. In " at that time river world " have even pulled 7 overcast lines. Generally speaking, pawn share to point to reach a new high point, receiving to profit to coil hit to press , allow to arise 3 overcast lines, but as the 4th thoroughly overcast line of appearance, it located location possibility already on sensitive 5th line takes off , show bull maintain the energy of new Gao Wei deficiency, focus will move. Certainly, here, there are 2 share special cases.  

First special case is banker draw designs painstakingly.  

Second is " Sichuan long rainbow". 96.6 and 7 grow rainbow to mount the last big barrier of 20 Yuan , 96.6, 10 and 96.6 and 11 are arranged continuously on 2th in 23 Yuan, have appeared soon afterwards 4 stand side by side little overcast line, but this has not formed the head of short period , closelies follow , 96.6, one of 18" long bonus" announce the step of 25 Yuan on this share again. So, here, there is a condition, it is to value heart. It is weak to make new low, rear city constantly as continuously 4 overcast lines, otherwise, is still to wash a plate of nature. " grow rainbow" this special case also reflect 1996 to" grow rainbow" is out of the common.  

2, quantity can be to judge that big plate is strong or is weak and important to mark.  

If conclude quantity in week to pass little, big plate , brew vitality on the contrary, if conclude quantity in week, too big, big plate declines on the contrary greatly very. In 1993, JP rubs root, is mad to sweep Hong Kong's share, conclude quantity to alternate Bao day quantity, but quantity can also have no longer time to be in Gao Wei Qu , is" permanent finger" attack is many can not hold a important reason of many big barriers for a long time. So, it is weak that quantity can tend to saturation i.e. big plate to tend to.  

Above-mentioned this kind of method the winner who can though judge big plate or is weak, but since from macroscopic place, stressing , there is certain hysteresis factor, the place that can not distinguish a plate of slight turn can not grasp in time to change a plate of opportunity. Burgeoning market analysis style emphasizes more " merit ": Pass fall for the rise of strong tendency share front row, circulation market value and ship of the value front row and strong tendency board piece of market price jump the synthesises such as general layout grind to sentence analysis big plate is being in which kind of state, because of them think the tendency of strong tendency share, actually, it is the reaction of market comprehensive factor , is the "resonance" on market!  

( 2) hold the pulse of strong tendency share only, can judge a plate of winner or is weak 

1, strong tendency share is in the lead to coil to create high, a plate of winner; Index innovation is high, strong tendency share does not be created high , is a plate of and weak.  

2 takes a rise that rises share , one shouts 100 should, big plate is strong.  

3 takes rise share continued rise and the thorough of isolated force , is a plate of and weak.  

4, it is weak that " leaf falls down can also pound the head of analyst on " coil.  

There is so a usual practice always, strong tendency share does not rise , market when the share of unexpected matter mend rise effect to take off dim eyesight is confused, this reflection makes market overall catch up rise wishes deficiency, cause to seek the less share of rise to do haven , the oneness of train of thought causes the share of unexpected matter to begin to raise , but we realize this kind of train of thought lay a foundation is not catch up the foundation of the rise share in great demand , thinking the share in great demand( strong tendency share) do not have no reserve strength? Mend rise to be completed , do not accuse about being a ship quotations a fall?  

Because big main force always in market in a boil section dispatch. Numerous analyst emerge shows crisis. 95.5, the mad rise of continuous 2 days beginning from 18. A lot of persons again forget " pass scar ". Street lane end comment stock gets rich , people of all circle appears again and again when court disaster for dynasty day the salon of the stock market go up; Market again when biography may see at 1500 o'clock , at 2000 o'clock, but market alert personage thinks deeply such a problem from the angle of big main force: Besides" a steam golden cup" nearly, have stir-fried one , when market when discussion the altitude of quotations, fully, storehouse person causes the stock market to lose elasticity , may section throws stock. 

Comment: Since arrive outside, since the outside two analysises that arrive a plate of winner or weak analysis method, if be able to dissolve , must go to indirect road less for one body. After falling ill , just see a doctor , this is helpless , is passive. Follow the way to keep in good health , eliminate cause of disease in sprout state , is just taken the initiative. The winner that passes through strong tendency share to judge big plate or is weak, the probability of " fall ill " is less.